Mobile Monday During Philly Tech Week

The folks over at Philly Tech Week have really done a great job putting together a diverse week of learning and fun.   For me personally, I am not dialed into this amazing community of talent in Philadelphia, so it has been nice to meet a whole new group of people.

Phillip Moyer, key note and managing director of Safeguard Scientifics, offered the 3 most important things he looks for when investing in a new venture:

1.   Who is your customer, the addressable market?
2.  Team who?   What are you made of?
3.  How defensible is the technology?

Mobile Monday in Philadelphia was hosted at the Hub Cira Centre (great facility by the way).  The Mobile Monday Mid Atlantic group, has a compelling value proposition if mobile is what makes you tick!   They’re networked to help you Mobilize your ideas and get feedback in the process. Among last night’s presentations,  snipsnap.it will take every mom to new a level in print coupon management.   If networking has become work for you, interactapp.me for facebook will make your phone geosocial on location.  When you are on location, based on what you want to share about your interests,  you learn instantly about the people in the room who share things in common with you.  Fascinating.  One of my favorites, was Communilator.  They have a smart, simple to use translation app that will help you communicate where ever you are in the world! They seemed to have a good handle on monetization.  Move over Rosetta Stone :) ! Onetwosee, social “Moneyball” in real time for sports fans!  Exciting sports app.    Finally, Cloudmine back end service for Mobile app development.  No code required!  Serious demo; an application developed and shown in the presentation, while the company made presentation.  Great platform…

The mobile community is alive and well in Philadelphia!

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Turn Your Idea Into An Investment Grade Business Plan

A perennial question in start up territory is whether or not you need a business plan?  If not now, when? Where funding is needed, it is extremely rare to almost never that businesses get funded without presenting their plan, whether it’s boiled down to 5-slides or not. It’s worth repeating…extremely rare to almost never.  The old cocktail napkin story…I love Joe Wallin’s start up law blog.  Here’s a great guest post by Bryan Brewer of Business Plans Northwest. Having a plan in your head, without the data to support your thinking does not make for good strategy, effective use of resources or ongoing decision making.  So the question really becomes, have you sold yourself on the strategy for making your ideas happen?  Or are you still thinking and talking about it?

My colleague, Marcus Tarrant, developer of HyperQuestions technology is out at DEMO12 and will be doing a Business Planning Masterclass on Friday in Silicon Valley. For self-directed entrepreneurs, start ups (including internal ones), founders and small businesses looking to expand, with a million and one things on your plate, this 1-day workshop is a cure for the attention deficit your having about getting the investment grade plan done. We are fortunate to have Marcus in Philadelphia next week for another event.    Here is a special discount registration for the Philadelphia event.  We’re on a mission to get 50-100 investment grade plans done in Philly using  breakthrough focusing and strategic planning technology called HyperQuestions.   Typical investment grade plans run into the thousands.  On the business planning front, the technology is disruptive.  Top consultants, accounting firms and law firms are benefiting from cost efficiencies gained from internal process innovation. While start ups are raising capital with their investment grade plans, benefiting from direct access to a strategic business planning tool that puts six and seven figure strategic support right at your finger tips.

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President Obama signs the Jumpstart our Business Startups (JOBS) Act

H.R. 3606

President Obama signed the JOBS Act bill this afternoon.  A bipartisan initiative with the objective “to increase American job creation and economic growth by improving access to public capital for emerging growth companies.”

See [JOBS Act Bill Final, H.R. 3606]

The SEC Act of 1933 and 1934 are amended to include an Emerging Growth Company, defined, among other qualifiers, as a company with less than $1,000,000 in revenue.  The JOBS Act amends several of the normal disclosure and compliance requirements to lighten the burden for small companies when raising capital in public markets.

Some of the highlights include exemption to disclosure and compliance requirements for emerging companies going public pertaining to:

  • Executive Compensation
  • Proxy Requirements
  • Reduces # of Years Audited Financial Statements Required IPOs
  • Removes Internal Control Audit Requirement (Exempts Section 404(b) of Sarbanes Oxley Act Requirement)
  • Permits Research Reports on Emerging Company Offerings (not to constitute an offer for sale or offer to sell a security)
  • Removes Pre and Post IPO Communication Blackout Periods
  • Removes Chinese Wall in Analyst Communications for Emerging Companies
  • Allows Confidential Pre (Draft)-Submission of Registration to SEC for Review

Adds CrowdFunding Provision…See draft checklist in previous post.

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Proposed CrowdFund Act s.2190

Proposed by U.S. Senators Scott Brown (R-Mass.), Jeff Merkley (D-Oreg.), and Michael Bennet (D-Colo.) collectively introduced the “CROWDFUND Act” (S. 2190)

[Capital Raising Online While Deterring Fraud & Unethical Non-Disclosure of 2012 Act]A

Checklist of Key Provisions

 

 

 

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Uncle Sam’s Case for Start Up Acceleration [infographic]

Another weapon in the economic recovery and job creation quiver,  the JOBS Act (Jumpstart Our Business Start-Ups Act) may be just what the doctor ordered.

President Obama is moving America forward and wants to sign the Jobs Act!  Reuters analysis also just pointed out that the “U.S. Jobs Act could help the least flashy start ups raise capital.” When it’s passed, the goal is that small start ups will have a lot easier go at raising investor capital and individual investors will be able to take some chances on start ups, through regulated crowd sourced capital formation, to rebuild from losses accrued in the collapse of real estate market.  Is this the accelerator local communities and main street USA could use?

We put together an infographic on why this might make sense, given current factors in the operating environment.  Of course there are critics abound alleging that average American business have Groupon disclosure challenges (see the Wall Street Journal today), small businesses creating jobs is a myth, failure rates are too high and greedy predators of every kind are abound.   However, this is not being advanced as a cure all by either party. It looks like a coordinated attempt at leveling the recovery and retrenching field beyond folks with oodles of capital on their balance sheets and power relationships tied to status and money.  Here it is…

 

 

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Are You Mobile Yet?

Accenture (ACN) revealed this week that the impact of mobility on business could exceed the impact of the internet according to 67% of 240 CIOs and corporate tech professionals along with 4,000 mobility application developers surveyed across 23 industries and 12 countries. The revenue size of corporates surveyed were split 50/50 $500MM-$1B and $1B-$5B.

According to the survey, the rise of smartphones and tablets have compressed IT innovation cycles to 12-18 months.  More than 20% of discretionary IT budgets are being directed at mobility.  The key finding is the stark contrast in strategic preparedness (48% vs. 12%) and budget allocation (94% vs. 35%) of the emerging markets over mature markets.  Said Accenture, “mobility is not simply an extension of IT capability, it is a whole new way of doing business.”

Key Areas of Concern Complicating Corporate Adoptions

  • Security
  • Cost/Budget
  • Interoperability

All devices and platforms have their security issues they report, though Apple’s (AAPL) iOS operating system is cited as having the best by developers (53%) with Google’s (GOOG) Android system ranking second, cited as best by 24%.  Fragmentation in market and platforms seen as challenging for mobility application developers.

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Security Alert on Twitter…Twitter Clowns

#TwitterJacking #Twitter

Thought I would put up a quick post on this. Here’s how it works.  Someone you know follows you on Twitter.  Their account has already been hacked.  From the hacked account they send you a direct message in Twitter.  The message from a person you know well says that they can’t believe it but there are nasty things being said about you and your company on line and they post a  link to alleged nasty content.  You click the link sent to you in a direct message from a trusted source and they have produced a replica of a Twitter log in screen.  It tells you your connection time in Twitter has timed out so you must log back in.  You log back in to Twitter from that screen.  They collect your email log in and password.  And now they have hi-jacked your account and post messages to your account.

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Derivatively Challenged…What else was Corzine saying today?

As we peel back the layers of exposure from the US financial crisis and look to the potential impact from the impending financial market fall out in Europe, it is abundantly clear regulators and policy makers here are wanting to deal with fail safe mechanisms in this acute period of economic recovery while working on forward treatment plans for the regulation of financials, not the least of which is the derivatives markets. What we are experiencing is not all about Europe.  It is some assurance that Treasury secretary Tim Geitner recently pegged the outside aggregate US Financial Institution exposure to Europe around $300B, while recently, Mr. Fink from Blackrock threw out a $350B number. Nonetheless, it is possible that regulatory requirements in the derivatives area will create affective obsolescence of certain products in the US market.   Some of the recent settlements and filings in this market give credence to this theory.  Given the earnings report of MF Global today, you have to wonder that considerable additional disruption to the financial sector products is pending, independent of their exposure in Europe, and it is not priced into the wider market yet.  In this way, regulators may be learning that the litigation and Dodd-Frank Act implementations may create more unintended consequences for the financial institutions of course but could extend well into the traditional financing, hedging and transfer of risk mechanisms employed by other sectors using the derivatives market.  The degrees of risk from financial leverage and revenue generation capability for companies operating in and through capital markets to finance operations and hedge risk could be materially impacted by changes in regulation.

So today I thought I would put up a quick post on this.

Here is an October snapshot of derivatives market exposure by segment based upon approximately 500 corporate and institutional names in the Americas market with the balance of exposures contained in the single names category.  Many of these categories are also tied into the considerable challenge our economy is experiencing with real estate.  For example in the category of consumer goods we found more than 20% of the large named entity derivatives exposure tied into home builders.  Additionally the RMBS, CMBS and CDS on Loans and Credit Index Options (Swaptions) are broken out by product.

The data give gross and net notional exposures.  A parallel example in the CDS market, is that the gross amount of contracts outstanding are not necessarily reflective of actual debt when they are called as many have historically offset CDS and derivative market positions with opposite positions. Plus, triggering credit events under different contracts may vary.  We know from recent rulings that hedging credit risk is going bye bye.  You could argue that once a firm has to disclose what they are hedging with their counter position, you effectively lose the ability to speculate on that risk and the competitive differentiation.  But if we got called with concentration risk in multiple sectors, beyond real estate, it could be more than an interesting economic recovery based upon net notional exposures across the corporates.  An example illustrates how these gross, notional and ultimately net exposures play out.  For example CDS contracts for a firm were estimated at about $400B while their firm total debt was about $155B and only about $7B was needed to settle their CDS obligations.

Here we have broken out the financial services market into sub-segments among approximately 75 firms.

 

 

Here are 10 single entity players in the financials sector.  Not surprising that a recent private mortgage insurer receivership was reported while peers in this category are currently impacted by the mortgage crisis.  It is noted that no granular information on the underlying financial institution contracts are provided.  This data does not therefore represent any specifics on any particular institution’s underlying portfolio or concentration risk.

 

All of the above chart information is provided as a courtesy from raw excel data provided by DTCC (Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation).  We have not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the data set.  This information was excerpted current as of October 24 2011 on the DTCC website.   We attribute all copyrights and data extracted here to  DTCC.  For more information visit www. dtcc.com

Hope this is helpful…

That’s all for now…
—PS

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What’s Up With The Robo Recognition Lag? A Reflection on Reasonable Standards of Care in Financial Crisis Response

Needless to say, we’re not going for a popularity contest on the cautionary flags we’ve thrown out on robo settling.  But we are really interested in challenging the status quo of our handling for the longer range.  The stakes are huge today for corporate and institutional leaders.  I just heard about a case where a mortgage applicant sued a bank and an employee apparently lost their job over newly instituted mortgage pre approval procedures and processes that are behaviorally still in assimilation phases, organizationally, for the both the federal government and at banks.  Show me an organization with people as sharp as a tack, doing something they’ve never had to do before, in mass, during a crisis and crisis response period, and I will show you the fountain of youth in enterprise risk.  So what are we really trying to prove here?

Wednesday I listened in on the senate SBLF Program hearing, attended by Tim Geitner.  I admire and respect him for his important work for America.  He’s done an admirable job in this financial market mess and I’m a fan.  But here’s a parallel take away from listening in…

What I concluded from the testimony yesterday on the Small Business Lending Fund (SBLF) hearing with Treasury Secretary Geitner is that this program basically failed for underwriting reasons to make advances in lending on the small business front. Poor credit quality.  For small banks and small businesses.  Apparently it took a day and age to get response out of this program.  A few people and banks benefited.  If they were talking about monetary policy yesterday though, maybe we’d call this a “recognition lag”. A lag between the time a problem arises and the time it is recognized.  Others might call it blind spot.  This to me is precedence for the trouble I’m also seeing with reams of principles based, prudential regulation in banking. It is great in theory, in practice, well…this is a litigator hedging moral competency in the name of justice living the American dream… I guess if there were full employment in the field of law, also absent the wage inflation people in the field are dealing with, maybe that would be the silver lining.  But really, what is up with the recognition lag?

What was striking to me was Senator Snow’s obvious frustration with the Treasury Secretary’s response… that her testimony was kind of falling on deaf ears, while she slammed the failure of the SBLF program, taking it out on Mr. Geitner for the Obama administration to know.   Funny to me for the theatrical element but she was serious on the content.  In a way, Tim politely humored her while he justifiably rested his case on the underlying facts.  What really is there to say about poor credit quality in the nation right now?  It’s important to know where people stand and what they stand on.

So when I see this same kind dynamic in the parties to the arguments in the robo foreclosure debacle, recognizing the also powerful and seemingly arrogant leaning position of the large financial institutions, these double standards of conduct that Washington can give the appearance of applying, while resting the case on the critical underlying facts, is germane to the legal and financial questions surrounding robo settling.   I don’t think it was Mr. Geitner’s intent to come across this way.  He just did.  I don’t think it was the banks’ intent either.  They just did.  That’s an impression.  What’s naive about intent here?  It’s circumstantial. We also know the problems are hardly criminal, but is it, under a reasonable standard of care, even negligence?  The kind we should be paying for?  The appearance of the conduct itself can be at the least, insensitive, unbecoming, unconscious, and in some cases absolutely deplorable.  Is it under the precise crisis response conditions negligent? What are the preconditions that serve this dynamic up?  You’d have to reconstruct this.  It’s happening at a time for people when they are clearly predisposed to immense financial pressure and are incredibly frustrated in dealing with bureaucracy.

The issues here are really not unlike some of those that big banks were dealing with in this mass foreclosure debacle that ultimately may require them to pay big money.  In other words, causation for the unfavorable outcome in both was technically rooted in failed credit, but the rage was triggered by administrative process that had nothing to do with the credit quality. Administratively each were unprepared in their particular crisis response to do a more timely, accurate or adequate job than the one they did.  The chain of events preceding the ultimate outcome support wrongful handling allegations, but do they justify indemnity or making whole.  For what?   A lot of pain and suffering in America…

So, many of the customers to whom these situations pertained were either failed by some expectation, held back or mistreated by the institution.  On the one hand disadvantaged underfunded small banks (SBLF) and the other disadvantaged underfunded households in foreclosure (Robo signing).  The errors were about the wrongful handling and treatment of the customer in the administrative process.  But not withstanding, the ultimate failure was really predicated on the underlying fact set that still warranted in the SBLF case, a loan declination to 50% of the small financial institutions who applied with only $4.0B of the $30B program going out the door to stimulate lending, $1.8B lent to small businesses and in the robo signing case, hundreds of foreclosure parties compensated on the subsequent fact pattern while not being true too, the underlying fact pattern of massed failed mortgage credit.  One has no legal recourse, the other one does.  Each believes, the net effect was the most reasonable standard of care they could render under their circumstances.  Mr. Geitner had a legal basis for the hold up in the SBLF application process to protect confidentiality and in the case of the banks they had a legal basis to be concerned about protection of their financial interests in properties in an accelerated and unprecedented period of foreclosure. No one really wants to argue about this.  So settle?  Is not the protection of assets one of the highest fiduciary duties?  The order and rank of priority for the duty of care in the handling of our various financial crisis responses are pretty dam tricky.  It’s unfortunate that a disadvantaged small bank who could have used the lending capacity, to lend to a contracted field of small businesses with acceptable credit quality or hundreds of disadvantaged poor households who really can’t afford to stay in the house got nothing but grief from their experience, be it a loan application process or loan foreclosure process.  Is there a reason for a monetary apology?

At the end of the day here, the theme of the SBLF testimony is captured in quotes like   “bit of a shell game” “too many faulty assumptions and miscalculations”  “tax reform and regulatory reform are needed.” “talk to the 44 states who made use of this initiative” “cheap money to repay TARP” “another bailout for banks”.  If we can say some small businesses benefited to the tune of $1.8B because of their credit quality out of an authorized $4B of the $30B pie,  technically we can say the program succeeded.  And if a few thousand citizens stand to benefit from the financial crisis, among 300 million people in America because of foreclosure crisis servicing serendipity over the underlying conditions to foreclose, technically we can say, we succeeded for them too…It’s certainly the humane thing and a socially important one right about now but I still really don’t know if its the legal and economic thing we can afford to do.

Have a good day :)

—PS

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The Next 200 Days in American Finance

As a follow up to our earlier post on Fire in the Belly of American Finance, thought I would post a sample short range scenario mapping

 

 

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